Despite the looming possibility of a conviction for former President Donald Trump on charges of falsifying records and election interference, a significant majority of Iowa voters remain undeterred in their support for him.
This is according to a recent poll conducted by NBC News/Des Moines Register, released this past Saturday.
Trump currently holds a commanding lead among Republican presidential candidates in Iowa, boasting an average support of 52%, as per data from RealClearPolitics. The poll further reveals that over 60% of Iowans intending to cast their votes on Monday would continue to back Trump in the general election, irrespective of a potential conviction in any of his ongoing trials in New York, Georgia, or Florida.
Interestingly, the poll also indicates that a conviction could potentially bolster Trump's support base. Nearly a fifth of the polled Iowan voters stated that a Trump conviction would make them more likely to vote for the former president in the general election. A mere 18% expressed that they would be less inclined to vote for Trump if he were to be convicted.
Among the Iowan Trump supporters, the poll shows a split response to a potential conviction. While 35% stated that a conviction would amplify their support, a significant 58% claimed it would not influence their decision. Trump is presently facing trial for alleged election interference, mishandling classified records, and falsifying business records.
The poll also shed light on the stance of supporters of Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis and former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley. A substantial 70% of DeSantis' supporters who participated in the poll stated that a Trump conviction would not deter their support. Similarly, over half of Haley's supporters indicated that a conviction would not sway their support in 2024. However, 26% of DeSantis' supporters and 41% of Haley's supporters conceded that a conviction might make them less likely to back the former president.
The poll, conducted from January 7 to 12, 2024, surveyed 705 registered Iowa voters and has a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points.
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